Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 71.118117 80.102379 89.322575 99.460868 110.264860 121.404924 133.730576
2025-02-16 56.692063 69.461560 83.194107 98.931820 116.345288 134.909659 156.084880
2025-02-23 48.676992 63.568346 80.144147 99.699097 121.888876 146.060342 174.160105
2025-03-02 42.082503 58.332029 76.997650 99.585714 125.772222 154.809281 189.086429
2025-03-09 37.202847 54.494658 74.931754 100.220427 130.076514 163.675173 203.834818
2025-03-16 32.246552 50.038169 71.687716 99.073225 131.977160 169.525298 214.927719
2025-03-23 29.290384 47.790772 70.869355 100.599350 136.830305 178.634594 229.642453
2025-03-30 26.864056 45.989191 70.410816 102.399582 141.881807 187.884016 244.457990
2025-04-06 23.706677 42.914648 68.103618 101.712787 143.771840 193.290640 254.698940
2025-04-13 20.295226 39.169304 64.670339 99.386556 143.474095 195.951530 261.591941
2025-04-20 19.362029 38.897380 65.780072 102.819892 150.266175 207.100549 278.543242
2025-04-27 18.063576 37.962853 65.907406 104.915470 155.346393 216.162519 293.008648
2025-05-04 15.781484 35.353779 63.623547 103.787501 156.354163 220.306946 301.665100
2025-05-11 13.758534 32.953426 61.486828 102.740664 157.382668 224.425169 310.264280
2025-05-18 12.483332 31.646377 60.820369 103.600628 160.804498 231.457765 322.373758
2025-05-25 11.072109 29.958855 59.492149 103.473465 162.886618 236.788926 332.389565
2025-06-01 9.989862 28.733890 58.771374 104.124671 165.943173 243.311349 343.852957
2025-06-08 8.597005 26.771172 56.813239 102.950368 166.524324 246.677575 351.404981
2025-06-15 7.922263 26.103208 56.809977 104.512229 170.719985 254.600048 364.586725
2025-06-22 7.358890 25.593595 57.018647 106.354293 175.280484 262.987583 378.359285
2025-06-29 6.366237 24.067565 55.513172 105.651572 176.369195 266.923191 386.582607
2025-07-06 5.198331 21.964197 52.932690 103.271078 175.101462 267.781496 390.919772
2025-07-13 5.079494 22.240002 54.324845 106.784328 181.903247 279.045759 408.321593